Cycle Scientist Predicts No Altcoin Boom as Bitcoin Peaks: A Looming Downturn in 2026?
A renowned cycle scientist, Lars Von Thienen, is making waves with his recent insights into the cryptocurrency market. In a recent interview, Von Thienen reveals a concerning trend that could impact both Bitcoin and altcoins.
The Global Liquidity Slowdown:
Von Thienen's research highlights a crucial factor: global liquidity, a key driver of asset prices, is losing its momentum. He tracks liquidity from major regions like the U.S., China, and Europe, and his data shows a slowdown. This means the easy money that fueled markets since 2023 is starting to dry up.
Bitcoin's Peak and Cooling Liquidity:
Bitcoin, according to Von Thienen, is intricately linked to global liquidity. He estimates that around 40% of Bitcoin's price fluctuations are influenced by liquidity conditions. Based on current trends, he believes the upward trend that began in 2023 is reaching its zenith. This doesn't imply an immediate crash, but rather a plateauing of price growth.
No Altcoin Season This Time?
One of the most intriguing aspects of Von Thienen's analysis is his prediction about altcoins. He suggests that traders hoping for another altcoin boom might be in for a disappointment. Unlike previous cycles, where altcoins often surged after Bitcoin peaked, this time the landscape is different. Capital is becoming more cautious, and global liquidity isn't expanding fast enough to fuel another speculative wave.
A Potential Downturn in 2026:
Von Thienen's forecast points to a significant downturn in global liquidity, potentially starting in the second quarter of 2026 and lasting until year's end. This phase could lead to weaker markets for both Bitcoin and altcoins as conditions tighten. He predicts a shift in investment towards productive sectors, potentially leaving crypto investors with a prolonged period of sideways or declining prices before the next cycle begins.
The Takeaway:
Von Thienen's insights raise important questions about the future of the cryptocurrency market. While Bitcoin's peak might be imminent, the impact on altcoins and the broader market could be more severe. Investors are urged to consider these predictions and prepare accordingly, as the cryptocurrency landscape may be heading for a significant adjustment.
